Читаем Английский язык. Практический курс для решения бизнес-задач полностью

Английский язык. Практический курс для решения бизнес-задач

Orlen or MOL are good examples for downstream-driven companies in Stage 2. Orlen’s acquisition of BP’s North German retail network has to be seen in this context as well as the expected initiation of regional partnership in downstream, enabling Orlen, MOL and OMV to capture and defend a leading regional position in the mid-term.

However, future success of all three companies will depend on their ability to compete against global industry leaders. A survival of focused downstream players is more than unlikely as they mark most attractive targets for global industry leaders to further sweeten their global oil and gas portfolio.

Also for oil and gas upstream the industry is still relatively dispersed. Risk sharing in E&P as well as high investment requirements in this segment are expected to further trigger consolidation and to focus on highly attractive assets and resources. Access to strategic resources as well as financial and technical capabilities are the key prerequisites in this segment.

Gazprom has already been identified by global integrated industry leaders like Royal Dutch/Shell as one of the most attractive acquisition targets in this region. First negotiations between the Anglo-Dutch industry leader and Russian authorities are underway. The sale of major stakes in Gazprom to the external investors would further open the Russian market.

Integrated oil and gas entered Stage 3 of the consolidation curve. In this segment, the titans of the industry emerge. Only few East European companies like YukosSibneft or LUKOIL are expected to compete on equal terms. Here, the consolidation is not so much a question of mega-mergers as the selective exchange of business units. However, being successful in the past does not mean to be on the winning side for the future. The East European market leaders are already identified as preferred targets for some global industry leaders.

Consolidation Strategy

To grow companies and thus raise the companies’ stock value, A.T. Kearney has developed the Value Building Growth method. Central levers of this method are revenue growth and value increase. They form a matrix with four quadrants in which companies of a sector can be positioned according to their stock market performance.

The position within the matrix gives a rough orientation of the relative competitiveness of a company and the strategic and operational improvement requirements. Accordingly, the position in the matrix gives four major thrusts.

Simple Growers face the question as to further focus core activities and competencies and develop them above average. The goal of Profit Seekers is to build on realized profits. Underperformers have to undergo a substantial process and organizational restructuring and portfolio optimization. For Value Growers the challenge is the sustainability of success and the preparation of the next step for growth.

YukosSibneft and LUKOIL are identified as Value Growers from 1997 until 2002. However, this should be seen as an honoring of both companies’ activities in the near past. For both it is now crucial to carefully evaluate their next steps in the market: compared to their global competitors both are still small players in the game.

Other East European players like Gazprom, Orlen or MOL have under-performed in terms of value and revenue growth. Restructuring their businesses and an even clearer business focus is the key message for these players.

Conclusion

To survive consolidation, East European oil and gas companies must take into account their specific positioning in the global consolidation curve. While business and portfolio restructuring as well as a consequent focus is the appropriate strategy for local players only few are in the position to compete against global industry leaders today. However, even these East European industry leaders may find themselves targeted by global majors; oil and gas is further moving towards an industry consolidation.

All companies have to quickly align the strategy to their relative industry position; otherwise they are running the risk of being taken over by industry leaders and becoming part of the oil and gas history. The urgency for East European companies to decide which future strategies they should pursue in the consolidation game is underlined by the fact that foreign companies have already defined their strategies and are on the way to implementing them.

Source: Oil and Gas Eurasia, october 2003, pp. 36—41