People laughed when Toyota announced its plans for creating its own luxury brand rather than paying for some other firm’s glorious history. But Lexus was spared all the tears and sweat associated with a takeover. And it succeeded by following a policy that many carmakers seem to find hard to copy:
Buying brands and additional international reach have been the strategies behind many takeovers. But so was the aspiration of using volume to achieve economies of scale. Analysts are no longer sure, however, that there is any great merit in that. Keith Hayes of Goldman Sachs reckons that 500,000 copies off a single platform is about the point at which scale benefits start to drop away.
In the past, making large numbers of a few models was the way to thrive. Now it is all about making a few copies of a lot of derivatives. Look at the dozens of model categories in today’s Mercedes and BMW ranges – a few years ago they had just three each. Yet total sales of each brand are still only around 1 million. Creating niches from common platforms is the new way to compete. BMW now sees strong competitive advantage in maintaining differences between all the cars it sells. It is investing in infrastructure so that customers can change the specification of their car as late as 100 hours before it is built. That encourages customers to spend more on optional equipment. For the carmaker it also means that every assembly plant has to be surrounded by its own suppliers. An engine cannot be shipped across continents within 100 hours of a request. Separate factories allow for more variation, but at the price of fewer economies of scale. However, the greater the specification by consumers, the higher the premium price the carmaker can command.
The obvious conclusion might be that the 100-year-old car industry has done its rationalization and consolidation and that what remains must therefore be leaner and fitter. It should be, but it isn’t. John Murray from Trinity College, Dublin, points to a worrying loss of power by the carmakers, rather than the expected gain. The makers have pushed much of their intellectual property away to the first tier of component suppliers, which have taken physical assets along with the necessary skills. And the new multi-brand retailers and the Internet-savvy consumers are together gaining power and a bigger chunk of the value chain. The so-called car manufacturers are going to be left to take care of just design, marketing and brands – a long way from the traditional skill of managing big manufacturing business.
Of course, there is just a chance that GM will be renovated to become the next Nissan. Implausible recovery stories have happened every decade and have paid returns far greater than any takeover bid ever did. More likely is that GM will go on struggling with the consequences of the industry’s consolidation. In future, as the global industry expands, new names will join those of Toyota and a few others. Yesterday’s predators, obsessed by their takeovers and mergers, will give way to nimbler, smarter carmakers that will reshape the global industry.
Essential Vocabulary
1. controversy
controversial
2. retool
3. refurbish
4.legacy
5. wholly-owned subsidiary
– дочернее предприятие, на 100% принадлежащее материнской компании6. inverse correlation
– обратная корреляция7. in the red
– с убытком8.in the black
– без убытков9. cost base
– база затрат10. market capitalization (cap)
– рыночная капитализация11. loss-making
– убыточный12. reach
13. holding
holding
14. outdated
15. payoff
pay off
16. predator
predatory
17. breakup fee
– неустойка, комиссия за прекращение контракта18. collaboration
collaborate
collaborative
19. strike
20. organic growth
– органический рост21. derivative
derivative
22. optional